作　　者： (卜国琴）; ;

机构地区： 暨南大学国际商学院

出　　处： 《工业技术经济》 2017年第7期63-70,共8页

摘　　要： 近年来,我国一、二线城市的房地产价格普遍迅速上涨,出现了较为严重房产泡沫。2017年,我国政府提出的房地产税改革、一揽子政策组合拳等举措再次引发激烈讨论。本文采用实验经济学方法,在计算机化的实验环境中设置房产交易市场,模拟房产交易,从而分析了房产价格泡沫产生的原因与过程,检验了我国现存各项房产政策抑制房产市场泡沫的作用大小。结论为:房产价格泡沫主要产生于交易者的"竞争非理性",增加交易费用、单方面征收房产税对房产泡沫的抑制作用并不明显,限贷、提高首付比例等政策可较为有效地抑制房产泡沫;房产政策的"组合拳"往往对抑制泡沫更为有效。 In recent years,the housing price in Chinese first-tier cities and second-tier cities universally increased,and it caused the serious property bubbles. In 2017,our government proposed the housing property tax reformation and a series of policy mix causing heated discussion. Using the experimental economics,this paper established housing transaction market and simulated housing transaction in the computerized experimental environment to analyze the cause and the process that leads the housing bubbles and check up the effect of our housing polices which curbed the bubbles. The result showed that the bubbles were caused by the traders' irrational competition. Increasing transaction cost and unilaterally imposing housing tax had little effect to restrain the bubbles. But polices of restricting loans and increasing the down payment ratio were effective to curb the bubbles. Also,the combination of housing polices always had more effects for restraining the bubbles.

关 键 词： 房产泡沫 房产税 组合拳 实验经济学 泡沫指数

领　　域： [经济管理—国民经济]