作 者: ;
机构地区: 深圳大学经济学院
出 处: 《技术经济与管理研究》 2008年第6期106-108,共3页
摘 要: 确定现代服务业中的重点产业并实现其类似主导产业的扩散效应对促进大中城市国民经济的整体发展具有重要作用。重点产业的确定可以通过采用指数增长模型预测法和线性回归增长模型预测法预测细分产业在未来若干年的增长趋势来进行,可以通过历史数据的分析来验证。 To decide the important industry among the modem service industries and to realize its diffusive effects play very important roles in securing the integral development of the national economy in China' s big and medium-sized cities. The decision of the important industry can be conducted by adopting index increase model and linear regressive increase model to forecast the increase trend of the sub-industries in the future, and can be tested through the analysis on historical data.
领 域: [经济管理—国民经济]