作　　者： ;

机构地区： 中国人民银行

出　　处： 《南方金融》 2012年第11期32-36,共5页

摘　　要： 本文通过对中国1985-2008年的数据进行实证分析,发现巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应在中国是存在的,但与传统的巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应假说不同的是,伴随中国经济高增长的不是实际汇率升值,而是实际汇率贬值。本文认为其产生的原因是,中国经济高增长不仅仅来自于劳动生产率的提高,还因为第二、三产业劳动者就业规模的不断扩张促进了第二、三产业的发展。 Through an empirical analysis of 1985-2008 data in China, the author finds that Balassa-Samuelson effect does exist in China. But it is the real exchange rate depreciation rather than appreciation that accompanies China＇s high economy growth which is different to traditional Balassa-Samuelson effect. This paper argues that the reason is not only the improved labor productivity which accounts for the high growth of the Chinese eeonomy, but also the eontinuous expansion of the scale of employment of workers in the secondary and tertiary industries promote the development of the secondary and tertiary industries.

关 键 词： 巴拉萨 萨缪尔森效应 经济增长 劳动生产率 刘易斯拐点

领　　域： [经济管理—金融学]