作　　者： ;

机构地区： 中山大学

出　　处： 《人口与社会》 2018年第5期40-51,共12页

摘　　要： 利用2000年和2010年全国＂五普＂＂六普＂和2005年、2015年全国1%人口抽样调查的汇总数据资料,分析了21世纪以来广东省出生性别比总体变化趋势,城乡、胎次、生育女性、地区差异及其变化情况。分析结果显示,广东省出生性别比仍处于重度失常的边缘,持续下降的可能性不够明显。城市化发展、生育政策的转变、生育主体的代际更替是广东省出生性别比下降的驱动力,但是短期内反弹的势能仍然存在。 Using the statistical summary data of the Fifth and Sixth Population Census, 2005 and 20151% Population Sampling, this paper analyses the general trend of the change of sex ratio at birth in Guangdong province from 2000, as well as the changes between urban and rural, among parities, among different age childbearing women, among different areas. The analysis shows that the sex ratio at birth is still on the edge of severe disorder in Guangdong Province, and the possibility of continuous decline is not obvious. Although the development of urbanization, the change of fertility policy and the intergenerational replacement of the childbearing women are the driving force of the decline in sex ratio at in Guangdong Province, the potential energy of the short-term rebound still exists.

关 键 词： 出生性别比 城乡结构 胎次特征 地区差异 生育政策

分 类 号： [C923]

领　　域： []