作　　者： (胡超凤）;

机构地区： 江苏经贸职业技术学院,江苏南京210110

出　　处： 《江苏商论》 2017年第7期64-67,共4页

摘　　要： 近三十年来,我国经济快速发展,物质文化生活明显改善,旅游产业取得了长足发展,旅游产业在"十二五"期间全方位融入国家战略体系成为支柱产业。国务院印发"十三五"旅游业发展规划通知,我国旅游产业在经济发展和旅游消费释放中将处于新一轮的发展黄金期。对影响城镇居民人均旅游消费的因素进行研究,分析各影响因素与其之间的关系,有利于在理论上指导旅游产业规划发展。本文应用计量统计的方法建立回归模型,借助Eviews软件分析各影响因素与城镇居民人均消费之间的关系,通过参数检验进行修正分析,最终得到国内城镇居民旅游人均消费支出模型,对促进"十三五"旅游业发展精确规划和落地有着重大的理论指导意义。 In the past 30 years, China＇s rapid economic development, material and cultural life have improved obviously. The tourism industry has made great progress. The tourism industry has become a pillar industry in the whole period during the ＂12th Five-Year Plan＂ period. The State Council issued the ＂thirteen five＂ tourism development planning notice, China＇s tourism industry in economic development and tourism consumption will be released in a new round of development of the golden period. It is helpful to analyze the factors influencing the per capita tourism consumption of urban residents and analyze the relationship between the influencing factors and the development of tourism industry in theory. In this paper, the regression model is established by means of Eviews software, and the relationship between the influencing factors and the per capita consumption of urban residents is analyzed by Eviews software. The model is used to revise and analyze the per capita consumption expenditure of urban residents in China. Five ＂tourism development of accurate planning and landing has a significant theoretical significance.

关 键 词： 旅游发展规划 人均旅游消费 影响因素 多元线性回归