作 者: (李兴阳); (黄冬梅); (闫俊); (冯帅); (季磊成);
机构地区: 静海县气象局,静海301600
出 处: 《科技通报》 2017年第8期61-65,共5页
摘 要: 根据天津市静海县1986年以后的统计数据以及气象站1959年以后的气象数据,采用趋势分析、滑动平均和M-K突变检验等方法,研究静海县的城镇化进程以及气象要素的变化规律;采用相关分析研究静海县城镇化进程指标与气象要素之间的关系。研究结果表明:静海县的城镇化进程在21世纪后进入快速发展时期;静海县近55年的气候变化显示出了较明显的"热岛"、"干岛"、"暗岛"效应以及风速的下降;但相关性研究表明,除了"暗岛"效应以外,其他气候要素的变化与静海县的城镇化发展之间没有明显的关系。这说明城镇化与城市化对气象要素的影响是有一定差异的,还需要更长时间和更多地区的资料做进一步的研究。 Based on the statistical data from1986and meteorological data from1959of Jinghai Country in Tianjin City,this paper employed trend regression analysis,moving average and the Mann-Kendall test on the change rules of the meteorological factors and the rural urbanization course,and used the regression analysis method on the relationship between the rural urbanization course and the meteorological factors in Jinghai Country.The results showed that the rural urbanization course of Jinghai Country has entered a rapid developing state from21st century.There has showed obvious heat island,dry island,dark island effect and the decline of the wind speed from1959in Jinghai Country.But the relevant research showed that there had no obvious relationship between the rural urbanization course and the meteorological factors,except the dark island effect.The results can be conclude that there had certain impact difference between the rural urbanization and the urbanization on the meteorological factors,so the further research should be taken based on the more longer data in more areas.