作　　者： (唐跃）; (陈梅汀）; (徐颖）;

机构地区： 舟山市气象局,浙江舟山316021

出　　处： 《海洋预报》 2017年第4期84-89,共6页

摘　　要： 应用浙江省气象台雷达定量降水估测产品、24h逐小时预报产品、多模式集成数值预报产品和舟山各港口自动气象站网等资料,采用双线性内插法和滑动平均误差法,进行舟山港口气象要素的本地化释用,建立各类指标和预报模型,形成港口10 min—168 h的无缝隙降水(非连续要素)、气温、风力精细化客观预报产品,再以图形的方式生成各类服务产品。通过该服务产品开展港口专项气象服务,有效提升了舟山海洋气象服务的精细化水平和船只的通航率及港口、临港产业的工作效率,也为政府、管理部门防灾减灾提供了决策依据,社会和经济效益明显。 Based on the quantitative precipitation estimation products derived from radar at the Zhejiang Meteorological Station, 24-hourly forecasting products, ensemble forecasting products from multi-models and automatic meteorological station data at every harbor in Zhoushan, using Bilinear Interpolation method and slide average error method, the interpretation and application of meteorological elements are conducted locally. Some kinds of indexes and forecast models are established to produce a seamless fine objective forecast products of precipitation （non-continuous element）, temperature and wind from 10-rain to 168 hour and generate kinds of service productions by figures. Such service products can promote the fine prediction level of marine meteorology in Zhoushan and greatly improve the ratio of navigation and the working efficiency of harbor and port-vicinity industries. It can provide the decision-making for the government and the administrative departments＇ disaster prevention and reduction with obvious social and economic benefits.

关 键 词： 无缝隙预报 港口服务 精细化