作　　者： (赵洪润）; (张衍华）; (贾思之）; (陈斌）; (姚超）;

机构地区： 山东省泰安市气象局,山东泰安271000

出　　处： 《贵州气象》 2017年第4期57-62,共6页

摘　　要： 利用1977—2007泰安5个气象站年共31 a的资料,运用模糊数学方法分析和模拟茶叶各生育期温度适宜度的变化情况。结果表明:泰安属于茶叶种植次适宜区,夏茶和秋茶温度适宜度均在0.8左右波动,春茶在0.4~0.55之间;近31a来,随着气温的升高,泰安茶叶全生育期的温度适宜度呈上升趋势,新泰、肥城、岱岳、东平这4个县市区未来茶叶生长将继续保持正效应;总体来看,气候变化提高了泰安茶叶全生育期适宜度,延长了茶叶生长期。 using the data of 31 years from 1977 to 2007 of 5 meteorological stations in Tai＇ an, the temperature suitability of tea in each growth period was analyzed and simulated by fuzzy mathematics method. The results show that the temperature suitability of summer tea and autumn tea fluctuated around 0.8 and the spring tea was between 0. 4 - 0. 55. In the past 31 years, with the increase of temperature, the temperature suitability of Yasu ye quan growth period showed an upward trend, Syntax, Feicheng, daiyue, Dongping, the future tea growth will continue to maintain positive effect; Overall, climate warming increased the suitability of Yasu ye quan, and prolonged the growth of tea leaves.

关 键 词： 茶叶 模糊数学 温度适宜度 气候变化