作　　者： (武婕）; (赵俊晔）;

机构地区： 中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业部农业信息服务技术重点实验室,北京100081

出　　处： 《农业展望》 2017年第8期8-11,共4页

摘　　要： 2017年上半年国内水果整体价格呈"涨—跌—涨"趋势,高于上年同期。从主要进出口市场的贸易情况来看,对印度出口显著增加,对俄罗斯出口减少,对东盟和美国出口保持稳定;从泰国和智利的进口明显减少,从其他主要来源国的进口均增加。预计下半年,水果价格整体也将高于2016年同期。由于短期内中国主要出口水果品种如柑橘、苹果及相应制品的国内存量会更少,加上受全球经济低速增长等多方因素的影响,外部需求很难有明显扩大,另外,进口渠道的扩大及跨境电商的发展,将支撑水果及其制品进口的增长,贸易形势不容乐观。 In the first half of 2017, the whole price of fruits rose compared with the same period of last year with the trend of increase-decrease-increase. The exports of China＇s fruit and its products to India increased obviously, to Russia reduced, to ASEAN countries and the United States remained stable. The imports of China＇s fruit and its products from Thailand and Chile reduced significantly, while the imports from other main source countries increased. Looking forward to the second half of 2017, it is expected that the whole fruit price will rise compared with the same period oflast year. Due to the declining domestic inventory of the main exported fruits, such as citrus and apple and its products, and affected by the slow growth of global economics and other factors, the external demand is difficult to have a significant increase. In addition, by the expanding of import channels and the development of the cross-border e-commerce, the imports of fruit and its products will increase and the trade situation will not be optimistic.

关 键 词： 水果 价格 进出口 贸易 展望