作　　者： (张思锋）; (张泽滈）;

机构地区： 西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院,陕西西安710049

出　　处： 《西安交通大学学报（社会科学版）》 2017年第5期49-58,共10页

摘　　要： 随着人口老龄化、高龄化,中国失能老人数量快速增长;随着劳动年龄人口的相对量和绝对量逐年减少,养老护理服务人员缺口日益扩大;作为应对养老护理服务人员短缺的重要举措,养老服务机器人产业应运而生。通过对养老服务机器人与养老服务机器人产业的分析,认为机器人与机器人产业的发展具有充分的想象和创造空间。依据近年来的调查资料和公开统计数据,对2016-2020年中国养老服务机器人市场的需求规模进行了测算,得出中国是世界最大的养老服务机器人潜在市场的结论。面对国外知名机器人企业纷纷看好中国养老服务机器人市场的现实,依据中国养老服务机器人产业发展的基础,认为必须尽快抢占养老服务机器人研发、制造、销售的产业战略高地,迅速发展中国养老服务机器人产业。 With the aging population and aging, the number of disabled elderly people in China is increasing rapidly. With the relative amount and the absolute amount of the working age population decreasing year by year, the gap of the old - age care service personnel is expanding day by day. As an important measure to deal with the shortage of old - age care service personnel, pension service robot industry came into being. By analyzing pension service robot and its industry, we think that the development of robot and robot industry has fully imagined and created space. Based on our survey data and public statistics, this paper analyzes the market demand scale of China＇s old -age service robot in 2016 - 2020, and the result indicates China will be the largest potential market for pension service robots. Therefore, we suggest that before well -known overseas robot enterprises go into the Chinese pension service robot market, we should preempt industrial strategic heights as quickly as we can in terms of robot research and development, manufacturing and sale, so that we can rapidly develop the Chinese pension service robot industry.

关 键 词： 人口老龄化 失能老人 养老服务机器人 养老服务机器人产业 中国养老服务机器人市场