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山东产业重心变动的影响因素研究
Influencing Factors of Shandong Industrial Gravity Center Change

作  者: (王传荣); (李彤彤);

机构地区: 山东财经大学经济学院,山东济南250014

出  处: 《山东财经大学学报》 2017年第4期49-59,79,共12页

摘  要: 从整体上看,山东省内空间上产业发展呈现出由东向西的梯度递减势态,产业重心偏向东部。而随着山东省中部的崛起和西部的开发,中西部地区产业实力不断增强,产业重心逐渐向西移动。文章通过追踪山东产业重心的移动路径,分析了三次产业在全省空间上各自的产业布局变化;通过建立产业重心影响因素指标体系,利用主成分分析和回归分析,探究了山东产业重心变化的主要影响因素。实证结果表明:山东省第一产业重心和第二产业重心变动不再受投入性要素驱动,而主要受交通通信、政府支持和基础设施因素的影响;第三产业重心则受科技因素和教育因素的影响较大。因此,针对山东省空间内产业发展的这种不均衡情况,提出了促进要素的地区间流动、完善中西部交通通信网、提高科研能力和教育水平、加快转变政府职能等建议。 On the whole, Shandong industry development presents a gradient decreasing trend from east to west in terms of space with the industrial gravity center biased towards the East. With the rise of the central Shandong Province and the development of the western Shandong Province, the industrial strength in central and western Shandong regions continues to increase with the industrial moving path of Shandong industrial gravity center, this gravity center gradually moving to the west. By tracking the paper analyzes the layout changes in the three industries in the whole province, and explores the main influencing factors of Shandong industry gravity center change by establis- hing the influencing factor index system for industrial gravity center and adopting principal component analysis and regression analysis. The empirical results show that the industrial gravity center change in the first industry and the second industry are no longer driven by input factors, but is mainly affected by transportation, communication, gov- ernment support and infrastructure while the gravity center change in the third industry is mainly affected by scientific and technological factors and educational factors. Therefore, such suggestions as promoting regional mobility of the essential factors, perfecting the traffic communication networks in the central and western regions, improving research capacity and educational level and speeding up the transformation of government functions are put forward in view of the unbalanced industry development in Shandong Province.

关 键 词: 产业重心 交通通信 政府支持 技术创新

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