作　　者： (李旭东）;

机构地区： 贵州师范大学地理与环境科学学院,贵州贵阳550001

出　　处： 《贵州师范大学学报（自然科学版）》 2017年第4期7-16,共10页

摘　　要： 当前,能源在居民生活中的消耗日益增长,已经成为碳排放的新增长点。为了解居民生活用能现状及影响因素,以贵州居民生活能源消费为切入点,分析2000~2014年贵州居民生活能源消费特征,运用协整检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解等方法,研究贵州省生活能源中煤炭消费比重、城镇化水平对居民生活能源消费的动态关系。结果表明:贵州省人均居民生活能源消费、煤炭消费比重、城镇化水平之间存在长期均衡关系。脉冲响应函数和方差分解方法则动态分析了各影响因素对居民生活能源消费的冲击效果和影响程度。根据实证研究结果,对贵州省居民生活能源消费提出建议。 The growing of residential energy consumption has become a new growth point for carbon emissions. In order to understand the characters and the Influence factors of residential energy consumption,this paper takes Guizhou province as the study object,On the basis of analyzing thecharacters of residential energy consumption from 2000 to 2014. the dynamic relationships between urbanization,the rate of the coal consumption and percapita residential energy consumption are analyzed empirically by using co-integration test,impulse response function and variance decomposition methods,etc. The results are as follows： There is a long term equilibrium relationship between urbanization,the rate of the coal consumption and per capita residential energy consumption in Guizhou province. Impulse response function and variance decomposition are used to analyze each influencing factor＇s effect of impact and influence degree on the percapita residential energy consumption dynamically. Finally,several constructive suggestions for residential energyconsumption in Guizhou are put forward based on the empirical results.

关 键 词： 居民生活能源消费 协整检验 脉冲响应函数 方差分解 贵州省