作　　者： (唐睿）; (李祥）; (冯学钢）;

机构地区： 华东师范大学经济与管理学部,上海200241

出　　处： 《农林经济管理学报》 2017年第4期529-538,共10页

摘　　要： 运用分位数回归和全面FGLS方法对2005年至2014年江苏省旅游业发展,农民增收和农民就业的关系展开研究。研究表明:就全省而言,旅游业对农民增收的传导路径由"产业推动型"向"城镇化推动型"转变。旅游业发展对其他三产行业农民就业具有正向的"溢出效应"。就区域差异而言,苏北地区旅游业发展对农民就业具有直接的促进作用,但三产基础薄弱是限制农民增收和就业的最大障碍。苏中地区旅游业可以通过加速城镇化进程,提高三产人员占比拉带动农民就业。苏南地区旅游业发展对农民增收和就业均产生积极的作用,但造成从业农民收入分配的不平衡。加之旅游业相对优势不明显,旅游业引导下的城镇化对农民就业的促进作用仍然微弱。 This paper studied the impact of tourism development on farmers' income growth and their employment in Jiangsu Province from 2005 to 2014.In general,the role of tourism development in the province in increasing farmers' income is now driven by urbanization instead of by the industry as it was.Tourism development has positive spillover effect on farmers who work in other fields of the tertiary industry.With regard to the area differentiation,tourism development has direct influence on farmers' employment in the north of the province,but the weak foundation of the tertiary industry remain the biggest obstacle to the increase of farmers' income and employment. In Mid Jiangsu,tourism development can improve farmers' income and employment through urbanization and the increase in the proportion of staff in tertiary industry. In the southern part,while tourism development has positive influence on the increase of farmers' income and employment,it leads to the imbalance of farmers' income distribution.As tourism has not gained obvious advantages over other industries,the role played by urbanization led by tourism remains weak in increasingfarmers' employment.

关 键 词： 江苏省 旅游业发展 农民增收和就业 分位数回归