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我国省域服务业创新水平的时空演变及其动力机制——基于空间计量模型的实证研究

作  者: ;

机构地区: 华南理工大学

出  处: 《经济地理》 2015年第10期139-148,共10页

摘  要: 通过建立模糊评价指标体系和因子分析法,分析了我国31个省(市、区)2000—2012年服务业创新水平的空间差异及格局变动,基于探索性空间数据法研究我国省域服务业创新的空间分异特征,并首次运用地理加权回归模型分析服务业创新的动力机制及其地区差异。结果表明:我国服务业创新水平整体较低,地区差距大,总体上呈现出从东部向西部逐步递减的“核心—边缘”结构,空间正相关性和聚集特征明显。信息技术、工业化、对外开放、人力资本、市场化对服务业创新存在正向的促进作用,而城市化和体制创新对我国各地服务业创新产生不同程度的负向影响。各因素对服务业创新的影响也存在地区差异,信息技术对服务业创新的影响由北向南递减,对外开放程度与人力资本则形成由西北向东南递减的地带差异,而市场化和工业化的影响程度形成了以东南为核心,不断向外扩散的圈层。 First, In order to explore the difference among provinces in China, the service innovation index system was set up, and the factor analysis method was employed to evaluate service innovation of 31 provinces in China from 2000 to2012. Second, the exploratory spatial data analysis was employed to check the distribution and time- spatial disparity of service innovation. Third, in this article,the authors used geographical weighted regression to explore the dynamic mechanism factors attached to the distribution and regional discrepancy of service innovation in provincial scale. The results reveal that the overall level of service innovation of China is low, and exists large regional disparities. Service innovation has cluster characteristics in regional development, having a great relevance with the level of economic development. It shows central- peripheral structure decreasing gradually from the East to the West area. Local analysis reveals most provinces in eastern China(core area) are located in the high-high(HH) region and show high concentration;while most of the western provinces(the edge area) are located in the low- low(LL) area and show low concentration.There is positive impact of information technology, industrialization, economic openness, human capital, marketization on service innovation. Among the influencing factors, industrialization's effect is the biggest, and information technology is the second driving force, which means unswervingly promote industrialization and informatization development strategies can help to improve regional service innovation. Contrary to theoretical assumptions, urbanization and institutional innovation have negative effect on service innovation. The influence of various factors on service innovation exists spatial disparity. Information technology's influence on service innovation is decreasing from north to south, impact of economic openness and the human capital on service innovation is decreasing from the northwest to the southeast, and the influen

关 键 词: 服务业创新 时空差异 动机机制 探索性空间数据分析 地理加权回归

分 类 号: [F752]

领  域: []

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