导　　师： 唐小松

学科专业： 030207

授予学位： 硕士

作　　者： ;

机构地区： 广东外语外贸大学

摘　　要： 东盟自成立起一直在大国的包围中求生存发展,特别是在1997年亚洲金融危机和2001年美国9·11恐怖袭击发生后,东盟对中美的认识有了重大的变化。面对当前地区内中美两个大国,东盟试图实施对冲战略,以期通过两面下注来减低风险。本文认为,东盟对中美的对冲战略已陷入困境。对冲战略并未使东盟获得预想中的关键地位,反而使中美两国更难认识到东盟在解决地区问题中的重要性,中美坚持以“双边”方式在该地区活动,从而对东盟的一体化产生负面作用。东盟对冲战略陷入困境的根本原因在于其“弱国组织,实力受制”这一结构性矛盾。此矛盾致使各成员国出于利益考虑不得不选择自己的依托对象,使其对冲战略的实施难以形成合力。东盟实力不足的现状也难以使其在中美两大国的棋局上占据太多比重,使对冲战略的操作空间非常有限。全文分为六章: 第一章是绪论。绪论主要解释本文的选题意义,介绍了对本论题的国内外研究现状和本文的研究方法与创新点。 第二章是理论建构。该章主要介绍了对冲战略产生的背景、定义和主要内容,并对对冲战略和大国平衡战略进行了比较分析。 第三章是东盟对中美实施对冲战略行为的描述,分为经济、政治和安全三部分。 第四章描述东盟对冲战略所造成的困境。 第五章重点分析对冲战略困境的原因,包括了东盟结构性的内因和大国博弈的外因。 第六章是结论部分,总结了东盟对冲战略困境的根本原因,并对东盟未来的外交战略调整进行了展望。 ASEAN has been struggling for survival in the siege of great powers ever since its establishment.Facing China and America,the two great powers,ASEAN adopts Hedging Strategy so that it can hedge against risks.This article argues that the Hedging Strategy towards China and America has brought ASEAN into dilemma. Actually,Hedging Strategy does not offer ASEAN the expected vital position,but makes it more difficult for the two great powers to treat ASEAN seriously in the economic and security affairs of Southeast Asia.Each of them persists in its bilateral way to deal with the regional issues,which has negative impact on the integration of ASEAN.The essential cause of the dilemma lies in the structural problem of' less powerful organization',which renders its members to have no choice but choose their reliers with regard to benefit,making it hard for ASEAN to form composite forces to bring Hedging Strategy into effect.The lack of strength also makes it hard to occupy too much proportion on the chessboard of China and the United States,bringing about restrictions to the operating space of Hedging Strategy. Chapter One explains the purpose and significance of the study,summarizes related literatures,and presents the research methods and framework of the study. Chapter Two reviews and analyses the background of Hedging Strategy theories; then,it discusses and concludes the characteristics of Hedging Strategy. Chapter Three comprehensively discusses ASEAN's Hedging Strategy,with a time range covering from 1997 to 2008.It focuses on economic,political cooperation and security issues. Chapter Four contains the core innovation of research.It analyses the dilemma of ASEAN's Hedging Strategy. Chapter Five analyses the causes of the Hedging Strategy dilemma. Chapter Six concludes major findings and presents a brief expectation upon ASEAN's future strategy.

关 键 词： 对冲战略 东盟 困境 结构性问题

领　　域： [经济管理] [经济管理]