导　　师： 黄国兴

学科专业： 071102

授予学位： 博士

作　　者： ;

机构地区： 华东师范大学

摘　　要： 决策支持系统/(DSS/)是交互式的软件系统,它可以帮助决策者从原始数据中抽取信息、分析解决问题并做出决策。DSS始于上世纪60年代,它从模型驱动发展到70年代的理论模型,在80年代中期被应用到金融计划系统和群决策系统中。在80年代后期到90年代早期,数据仓库、联机分析技术/(OLAP/)和商业智能被应用到DSS中。当今智能决策支持系统/(IDSS/)是把人工智能技术融入到决策支持系统中,并发展成为一种新的决策系统。 Agent是独立智能软件,它是当前人工智能领域的热门研究课题。多Agent系统/(MAS/)包含若干个Agent,其根据各自不同的目标和动机互相作用。为了能有效地互动,它们还需要相互合作、调整与协商。 电力决策支持系统被广泛地应用在电力市场、需求侧管理/(DSM/)和电力负荷预测中。尽管该系统可以采用面向对象技术/(OOP/)实现,然而基于Agent的程序设计语言/(AOP/)并没有取代OOP成为当今的通用编程语言。从Agent的逻辑结构推导到Agent信息系统,并结合决策支持的经典问题的研究还比较欠缺。为了让这些研究应用到电力决策支持系统中,我们需要探索Agent的新技术来实现智能决策系统/(IDSS/)。也许该技术在将来能够像面向对象技术/(OOP/)一样,被广泛地应用在高级并行的电力决策支持系统中。 本文对Agent的理论和方法、在智能决策支持系统中的多Agent的技术和在电力行业决策支持的多Agent技术进行了研究。论文的主要工作如下: 1.提出了一种关于Agent的模糊认知逻辑,采用该逻辑推理出Agent获取知识的过程;提出了一种带反馈的BDI-Agent/(FBDI-Agent/)模型,对经典BDI-Agent模型进行了扩展。 2.提出了采用集合方法描述的多Agent信息系统,研究了在多Agent交互中规则的形成过程,并采用ID3算法对实例中的规则进行挖掘;定义了Agent Decision Support Systems /(DSS/) is an interactive software-based system intended to help decision makers compile useful information from raw data to identify and solve problems and make decisions. DSS begins with building model-driven DSS in the late 1960s, theory developments in the 1970s, and the implementation of financial planning systems and group DSS in the early and mid 80s. Data warehouses, OLAP and Business Intelligence evolved in the late 1980s and early 1990s.Nowdays intelligence decision support system /(IDSS/) is a new information system that joins artificial intelligence technology into decision support system. Agent is the independence intelligence software, which is a hot topic in the field of artificial intelligence. A multi-agent system consists of a number of agents, which interact with each other on behalf of each agent with different goals and motivations. To successfully interact, they will require the ability to cooperate, coordinate, and negotiate with each other. Electric power decision support system is widely used in electric power market, demand side management /(DSM/) and electric load forecasting. Although electric power DSS can be realized by object oriented programming technology, Agent Orientend Programming /(AOP/) isn't as in common use as OOP. The research on classical decision support system problem from Agent logic structure to Agent information system is deficiency. The research will be helpful in electric power decision support system. We need to use new Agent technology to realize the IDSS, maybe the technology will be widely used in advanced distributed electric power DSS as OOP in the future. The dissertation focuses on the theories and methods about software intelligence agent, multi-agent systems technology in intelligence DSS and in electric power DSS. The main contributions of this dissertation are as follows: Firstly, fuzzy reason logic on Agent is presented, by which paper deduced the procedure of agent getting knowledge. A f

关 键 词： 人工智能 决策支持 多智能代理 电力

领　　域： [电气工程]