导　　师： 杨仕辉

学科专业： 020206

授予学位： 硕士

作　　者： ;

机构地区： 暨南大学

摘　　要： 随着中国经济的发展中国现已成为第一贸易大国，与此同时中国的进口贸易也有很大的增长。在应对国外反倾销的同时，中国也越来越多地运用反倾销措施抵御来自国外的不公平竞争。本文基于1995-2012年中国对外反倾销贸易数据，建立动态面板数据模型，运用SYS-GMM方法估计了中国对外反倾销的贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应。通过对中国对外反倾销现状分析发现：中国对外反倾销整体来看是有效的，主要针对的国家是日本、韩国和美国，主要目标行业是化学制品、塑料制品和皮革制品这三个行业。实证分析结果表明：中国对外反倾销确实存在显著的贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应，中国征收反倾销税会抑制国外相关涉案产品流入到中国市场，同时也会促使中国从其他非被诉国进口涉案产品，从而导致被诉国家涉案产品在中国的市场份额下降。 As the development of the China’s economy, China has become the largest trading nation.Meanwhile, China's import trade is growing rapidly, China also increasingly use antidumpingmeasures against foreign unfair competition.Based on Chinese antidumping cases and tradedata between1995and2012, this article establishes a dynamic panel data model under therelative trade data, and use the SYS-GMM method to estimate trade destruction effect andtrade diversion effect. By analyzing the current situation of Chinese antidumping, we can findthat the main target countries are Japan, South Korea and the United States and the maintarget industries are chemical products, plastic products and leather products. Empiricalresults show that: Chinese antidumping has significant trade destruction effect and tradediversion effect. China imposed antidumping duties on sued countries will suppress the samekind of involved products entering Chinese market, and also will procure the same kind ofinvolved products from other non-sued countries entering Chinese market, lead to the suedcountries reducing the market share in China.

关 键 词： 反倾销 贸易破坏效应 贸易转移效应 实证分析

领　　域： [经济管理] [经济管理]