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我国收入差距对经济增长的影响
The Effect of Income Inequality for the Economic Growth

导  师: 卢万青

学科专业: 020105

授予学位: 硕士

作  者: ;

机构地区: 广东外语外贸大学

摘  要: 改革开放30多年来,我国经济持续高速增长,而收入差距也呈现扩大的趋势。不断恶化的收入分配差距会对我国的经济增长造成怎样的影响呢?这是本文要解决的主要问题, 本文运用了理论分析和实证分析两种方法,对收入差距如何影响经济增长进行了研究。首先,对我国收入差距的现状、成因和后果进行了分析,主要从城乡收入差距扩大、地区间收入差距扩大、行业收入差距扩大及政府与居民收入差距扩大等四个方面入手分析了我国的收入差距现状,并从体制因素和政府政策两个角度深入挖掘成因,最后提出收入差距过大会影响消费和社会稳定最终阻碍经济增长。其次,在代际交叠模型的基础上引入政府政策变量因子,建立理论模型证明收入分配差距同经济增长负相关。然后,采用我国1991-2011年省级面板数据,通过面板协整技术来检验全国以及东中西三大地区的收入差距与经济增长之间是否存在长期稳定的协整关系,并建立一个面板误差纠正模型,分析收入差距和经济增长之间的短期关系。最后,利用中国1997-2007年间的省级面板数据,实证检验了收入差距对我国经济增长的影响。总之,通过事实观察、理论研究和实证分析,认为我国现阶段的收入差距现状不利于经济的持续发展。因此,根据前面的研究提出了三点建议:第一,打破城乡分割的二元经济结构和推进户籍制度改革;第二,深化税收体制改革,缩小地区差距;第三,加大教育支持力度,提高劳动力素质和就业能力,从而促进经济增长。 Since the reform and opening up began more than30years, China has gainedspectacular economic growth, but the income inequality has showed the tendency ofexpansion. How the worsening income distribution gap affects China's economicgrowth? This is the main problem addressed by this study. This dissertation focuses the effect of income inequality for economic growth byusing the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis. First, we focus the status quo,causes and consequences of the income inequality in China from four prospects:urban-rural income gap, inter-regional income gap, industry income gap, the incomegap between Government and the people. Further from system factor and thegovernment policy to dig the reasons in income inequality, then puts forward theincome gap will affect the consumption and social stability, eventually hindereconomic growth. Secondly, using the1991-2011provincial panel data and the panelco integration technology to test the existence of long-term stable co-integrationrelationship between the income gap and economic growth of the country, the east, thecentral, the west. Then establishes a panel error correction model to analyze theshort-term relationship between the income gap and economic growth. Finally, basedon the overlapping generations model, introduce the government policies variable,and through the mathematical derivation of the model to prove that incomedistribution inequality negatively correlated with economic growth. Then using thepanel data at the provincial level in China between1997and2007, test the incomegap between the urban and rural areas had a major impact on economic growth. Inshort, using the fact observation, theoretical and empirical analysis, we find that thestatus quo of China's current income gap is not conducive to sustained economicdevelopment. Thus, according to the previous study, propose three suggestions: First,we should accelerate reform, paying particular attention to urban and rural division ofthe dual economic structure and promoting the reform of the household registrationsystem; Second, deepen the reform of the tax system to reduce regional disparities;Third, increase educational support efforts to improve the quality of labor andemployment capacity, thereby promoting economic growth.

关 键 词: 收入差距 经济增长 代际交叠模型 面板协整 估计

分 类 号: [F124.1 F124.7]

领  域: [经济管理] [经济管理]

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