作　　者： ; ; ; (韩宇平）;

机构地区： 西安理工大学水利水电学院

出　　处： 《水利学报》 2003年第6期14-21,共8页

摘　　要： 为干流多个串联水库与地下水库联合对区域供水系统建立风险分析模型。以系统分析的思想为基础 ,考察来水和用水的不确定性 ,利用地表水和地下水联合调配数学模型 ,采用随机模拟技术对串联水库联合供水的风险进行定量描述。对石家庄地区的分析计算结果表明 ,该方法充分考虑了区域工农业需水量约束和生态环境需水约束 。 Based on the system analysis the risk analysis model for regional water supply system with serial cascade reservoirs is established. The uncertainties of inflow and water consumption are taken into account. The optimization dispatching model of cascade reservoirs in associate with groundwater is utilized and the technique of random simulation is adopted. The water supply system of Shijiazhuang region is analyzed as a case study to demonstrate the application of the model. In the analysis the constraints of agriculture and industry water demand as well as the water demand of environment are taken into consideration.

关 键 词： 串联水库联合供水系统 随机模拟 联合调配数学模型 风险分析

领　　域： [水利工程] [环境科学与工程]