作　　者： ; ;

机构地区： 石河子大学经济与管理学院

出　　处： 《城市问题》 2014年第5期61-67,共7页

摘　　要： 基于2000-2011年西北五省的面板数据,建立动态面板数据模型,并运用面板数据模型协整检验、因果检验以及广义矩估计,来研究城镇化与产业生态化的互动发展关系。研究发现,城镇化与产业生态化之间存在着协整关系,可以通过误差纠正机制来维持城镇化与产业生态化的长期均衡发展。从短期来看,城镇化和产业生态化之间的因果关系很难显现;从长期来看,城镇化是产业生态化的原因,城镇化每提升1个百分点,产业生态化水平就会提升1.29个百分点。最后提出了西北地区突破经济增长生态瓶颈约束,以及促进经济可持续发展和生态文明建设的有效路径。 Based on the five northwestern provinces＇ panel data from 2000 to 2011, this essay constructs a dynamic panel date model, and employs panel data co - integration test, causality test and GMM estimation to analyze interactive develop- ment of urbanization and industrial ecologization. It is found that there is a co - integration relationship between the urbanization and industrial ecologization, which means this area maintains the long- term balanced development between urbanization and in- dustrial ecologization through the error correction mechanism. Moreover, the causal relationship between urbanization and in- dustrial ecologization is difficult to appear in the short term and urbanization is the reason of industrial ecologization in the long term. More importantly, the industrial ecologization level will see a 1.29% increase if urbanization enhances 1%. In the end, this essay puts forward the effective path to break ecological constraint and achieve economic sustainable development.

关 键 词： 城镇化 产业生态化 互动发展 面板数据模型

领　　域： [经济管理] [环境科学与工程]