作　　者： ; ;

机构地区： 暨南大学经济学院特区港澳经济研究所

出　　处： 《国际经贸探索》 2012年第6期66-74,共9页

摘　　要： 中国内地经济参数的变动,形成影响澳门经济运行轨迹的一系列变量。中国内地自2005年7月开始实行汇率制度改革以来,人民币对美元升值的步伐不断加快。人民币升值对澳门特别行政区的经济产生了一系列重要影响,引发了澳门产业发展的新变化。基于此,文章以人民币汇率变动参数作为切入点,从澳门四大传统支柱产业(博彩旅游业、建筑地产业、金融业、出口加工业)的角度,采用回归分析和相关系数分析方法,分别就人民币升值对澳门四大传统支柱产业的影响效应进行模型拟合实证分析,研究结果显示人民币升值对澳门经济存在显著影响。 The change of economic parameters in China's Mainland forms a series of variables that affect Macao＇s economic trajectory. Since July 2005, with the adjustment of RMB exchange rate, the pace of RMB appreciation against U.S. dollar has speeded up. RMB appreciation has produced a lot of important impacts on the Macao Special Administrative Region＇s economy, and led to the new change of Macao＇s industrial development. Based on this, the paper uses the parameter of RMB exchange rate as an entry point, and applies the method of regression analysis and correlation coefficient analysis to respectively analyze the effect of RMB appreciation on Macao＇s four traditional industries （including lottery and tourism industry, construction real estate industry, financial industry and manufacturing industry）. The results show that RMB appreciation has a significant effect on Macao＇s economy.

关 键 词： 人民币升值 澳门经济 影响效应 实证分析

领　　域： [经济管理]