作　　者： ; ; ;

机构地区： 暨南大学经济学院

出　　处： 《中国软科学》 2012年第5期48-57,共10页

摘　　要： 在整理印度反倾销申诉案件的基础上,通过收集相关数据,发现印度反倾销主要目标国是中国、韩国、中国台湾和泰国等新兴工业化国家和美国、欧盟和日本等发达国家,打击的恰恰是具有强大比较优势的产品。中国成为印度头号反倾销国家,被诉产品都是出口增长快、市场份额高的产品。其后建立动态面板数据模型,从被诉国家和显示性比较指数角度重点实证分析了印度反倾销的贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应。经过使用系统GMM估计方法进行分析后,发现反倾销措施的贸易破坏效应和贸易转移效应随时间延递而逐渐减弱,反倾销措施对被诉国的贸易破坏效应一直比关税的贸易破坏效应要大。从反倾销政策对产业竞争力影响来看,印度反倾销措施对其产业竞争力提升具有较显著的促进作用,当印度产业处于比较劣势时,印度反倾销措施对产业竞争力的提升效果更强。 By collecting relevant data based on India’s anti-dumping cases,it can be concluded that newly industrializing countries and districts such as China,Korea,Chinese Taipei and Thailand and developed countries like USA,European Union and Japan are main target countries of India’s anti-dumping policy.These anti-dumping cases aim exactly at products exported with great comparative advantages.Especially,China,whose values of exported products are increasing rapidly with a high market share,becomes the first target country of India’s anti-dumping action.A dynamic panel data model is established to empirically analyze the trade destructing effect and trade diversion effect of India’s anti-dumping policy,from the perspective of involved countries,and revealed comparative advantage index.Using system-GMM,the empirical study finds that the trade destructing effect as well as the trade diversion effect of anti-dumping measure is weakening as time goes by,and has larger impact than the trade diversion effect of tariff all the time.From the industry competitiveness point of view,it can be seen that anti-dumping actions have great effect on promoting industry competitiveness in India.Significantly,the effect is larger in the industries without comparative advantage.

关 键 词： 反倾销 贸易破坏效应 贸易转移效应 显示性比较优势

领　　域： [经济管理] [经济管理]