作　　者： ; ; ;

机构地区： 华南市场经济研究中心

出　　处： 《经济评论》 2012年第2期80-87,96,共9页

摘　　要： 本文利用广东省21个地区1991-2007年面板数据,对自雇创业率与失业率的关系进行实证检验。结果表明,失业率变化对自雇创业率变化影响不显著,而自雇创业率变化对随后的失业率变化有显著的负向影响。这一结果支持了创业可降低失业的企业家效应假说,并不支持高失业率会影响自雇创业率的难民效应假说。上述发现从经验证据上支持了我国当前实施的"以创业带动就业"的扩大就业发展战略的合理性,并蕴含着一定的政策含义。 This paper employs a panel data set, which covers 21 areas of Guangdong Province from year 1991 to year 2007, to investigate the relationship between business start - ups and unemployment rate empirically. The results show that, the effect of unemployment on business start- ups is not significant, however, business start -ups has significant negative effect on unemployment rate. The outcomes support entrepreneur effect well,which predict that start - ups reduce the unemployment; but do not support refugee effect,which predict that the unemployment pushes business start -ups. Our findings mean that the strategy ＂promoting employment by encouraging business startups＂ in current China is reasonable,as well implicates some policy implications.

关 键 词： 自雇创业 失业 难民效应 企业家效应

领　　域： [艺术] [艺术]