作　　者： ; ;

机构地区： 四川大学工商管理学院

出　　处： 《中国管理科学》 2011年第3期103-110,共8页

摘　　要： 技术创新是企业获得竞争优势的动力源泉,是企业谋求生存和发展的重要保障。然而,技术创新是一项高风险活动,企业要避免和减少损失,将威胁转化为机会,就必须对技术创新风险进行管理,而准确度量风险则是进行技术创新风险管理的基础。本文基于物元与可拓集合理论,建立了企业技术创新综合风险测度的多维可拓物元模型,并提出了风险的可拓测度方法。该方法能够综合考虑企业技术创新过程中的各种主观信息和客观信息,反映技术创新过程中的各种风险因素的状态,不仅可以对企业技术创新的综合风险进行测度,而且可以对企业技术创新的客观风险和决策者的主观风险做出准确评估。理论分析和实践结果均表明了所建立模型的可行性和有效性,这为企业技术创新风险的测度提供了一条新的途径。 The technological innovation is not only the powerful headspring that increases competitive advantage of enterprises,but also important guarantee that improves the viability and development of enterprises.However,the technological innovation is a kind of high risk activity.In order to avoid and reduce the loss,enterprises must manage and control the technological innovation risk.And accurate measurement is the basis for enterprises to manage and control the technological innovation risk.In this paper,on the basis of matter-element and extension set theories,the multidimensional extension-matter-element model of comprehensive risk measure of enterprise technological innovation is established,and the extension measure method of technological innovation risk is proposed.This method can take into comprehensive consideration all kinds of subjective information and objective information of enterprise technological innovation,and reflect the risk factors＇ states in the process of enterprise technology innovation.It can not only measure the comprehensive risk of enterprise technological innovation,but also evaluate the objective risk and subjective risk of enterprise technology innovation.Theoretical analysis and experimental results show the feasibility and validity of the model.The research work supplies a new way for technological innovation risk measure.

关 键 词： 技术创新风险 风险测度 物元模型 可拓集合 主观风险

领　　域： [经济管理] [社会学]