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从美国气候变化政策的既往特征预判其未来走向
Predicting the Future Direction of America’s Climate Change Policy on the Basis of Its Long Existing Features

作  者: ;

机构地区: 中国人民大学国际关系学院

出  处: 《和平与发展》 2011年第1期21-28,67,共8页

摘  要: 美国气候变化政策的发展变化始于老布什政府时期。从上世纪90年代以来美国历届政府的气候变化政策的发展看,美国气候变化政策具有经历从一般程度上升到战略性高度、内容的变化性与延续性相结合、党派属性对政策影响重大等特征。奥巴马当政以来,延续了民主党比较重视气候变化政策,进一步加大了气候变化的国际合作力度。然而,奥巴马政府气候变化政策也会受国内政党政治变化和利益集团(主要是传统产业集团)的掣肘,在国际谈判中仍将会避免作出实质性减排承诺,并把发展中国家纳入同一减排体系等做法。中国面临的减排任务将更加严峻。 The evolution of America's climate change policy began at the period when George H.W. Bush (Bush I) was in power. Viewing the evolution of climate change policy adopted by successive American governments since 1990s, we can find that this policy has some specific features, which involve a process of attention ascending from a relatively low degree to a strategic height, an integration of both modification and continuation of its substance, and the significant impact on the policy itself exerted by different political parties. Since he came into power, Barak Obama has been following the way the democratic Party takes to pay more attention to the climate change policy and has enhanced the efforts to promote international cooperation in dealing with climate changes. However, the Obama administration's climate change policy would also be implicated by the changes in domestic party politics and the demands of interest groups (mainly the traditional industries). So, it would still try to avoid any practical promises over emission reduction, and to force the developing countries into the same emission-reducing system. China will face a much harder task of reducing the emission.

关 键 词: 美国气候变化政策 政党政治变化的影响 利益集团制约 中国减排任务

领  域: [政治法律] [政治法律] [政治法律]

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