作　　者： ;

机构地区： 仲恺农业工程学院计算科学学院

出　　处： 《仲恺农业工程学院学报》 2010年第4期51-55,共5页

摘　　要： 以城市化进程与城乡收入差距之间的相互作用机制为理论基础,根据广东省1982～2007年的时间序列数据,利用向量自回归(Vector auto-regression,VAR)模型对两者进行动态计量分析.实证结果表明,城市化是城乡收入差距的格兰杰(Granger)原因,对城乡收入差距产生正向拉动效应,但随着时间的推移,拉动效应呈逐渐减弱趋势;同样,在城市化初期阶段,城乡收入差距是城市化的Granger原因,到了后期则不然.根据实证结论,提出了科学发展城市化及缩小城乡收入差距的政策建议. Based on the mechanism between urbanization and urban-rural income gap,according to the Guangdong Province＇s data from 1982 to 2007,the dynamic econometric relationship was analyzed using a vector autoregressive（VAR） model.The empirical results showed that urbanization was the Granger causes to urban-rural inequality,and that the impact responses were positive.As time went on,the impact gradually became weak.In the early stages of urbanization,urban-rural income gap was the Granger causes to urbanization,at the later stage,it was not.Finally,based on the empirical conclusions,this paper suggested some policy proposals for developing scientific urbanization and lessening urban-rural income gap.

关 键 词： 城市化进程 城乡收入差距 动态分析

领　　域： [经济管理]