作　　者： ; ;

机构地区： 莆田学院环境与生命科学系

出　　处： 《经济地理》 2010年第11期1885-1889,共5页

摘　　要： 利用2003—2007年海西的遥感和统计资料,根据海西的城市化发展和土地利用动态变化,选取12个影响海西土地利用变化的因子,构建影响土地利用变化的指标体系,并进行相关性分析和多元逐步回归分析,得出影响因子的最优多元线性回归方程。从定性与定量相结合的角度探讨海西土地利用变化的驱动因素。研究表明:①在影响指标体系的相关性分析中,所选取的指标基本上都与海西土地利用变化具有显著的相关性,特别是人口增长、经济发展、产业结构变化及城市化水平等因子。②在多元回归分析中,城市化水平、第一产业占GDP的比重、进出口总额、非农业人口比重、总人口等因素成为了各类土地利用类型变更的重要影响因素。③人口、城市化水平、产业结构等因素是影响土地利用变化的最主要因素。在未来海西城市的发展过程中,应该调整好城市发展中的各因素与土地利用的关系,促进土地的合理利用。 Based on west side of the Straits’ resources of remote sensing data and socio-economic statistical yearbook data in 2003-2007,according to analysis of west side of the Straits’ development of urbanization and dynamic change of land use,the indicators system of impacting the changes of land use was constructed by choosing 12 factors.The correlation analysis and multiple stepwise regression analysis were used to acquire the best multiple linearregression equation of influencing factors.The results showed：①In the correlation analysis of impacting indicators system,the most influence factors were significantly related to west side of the Straits’ dynamic change of land use,especially the factors such as population growth,economic development,structural change and urbanization level.②The factors such as urbanization level,ratio of primary industry output in GDP,gross import and export,ratio of non-agricultural population in total population,total population had been the important impacting factors of land use change in multiple regression analysis.③The major factors of west side of the Straits’ dynamic change of land use were as follows：population,urbanization level,industry structure.The relation between each factorof urban development and land use should be betterregulated in future of the western coast economical zone of Taiwan Straits so that land use was reasonable.

关 键 词： 土地利用变化 影响因素 快速城市化 海峡西岸

领　　域： [天文地球]