作　　者： ;

机构地区： 华南理工大学经济与贸易学院

出　　处： 《中国流通经济》 2010年第9期53-57,共5页

摘　　要： 本文认为,2010年上半年中国CPI上涨主要有两个原因:一是粮食和鲜菜价格上涨。其原因主要是全国较大范围自然灾害所造成的粮食和鲜菜减产与减产预期。二是居住类物品和服务价格上涨。其主要原因是购房价格的持续上涨和短时间内开征房产税的预期。下半年CPI上涨的压力主要来自于不乐观的农业生产形势。减缓上涨压力的因素主要包括:上半年推动CPI上涨的一些因素的消失,居住类物品和服务价格的趋于稳定,生产价格对CPI推升作用的减弱,以及国内粮食储备充足和主要国家CPI涨幅不大。 Two big factors lead to the rising in CPI in the first-half of 2010 in China. One is the rising price of food and vegetables which is mainly due to natural disasters throughout the country; the other is the rising in rent mainly due to the rising house price and the expectation of real estate tax levying. The pressure of the rising in CPI in the second half of 2010 will be mainly from the non-optimistic agricultural situation. Reducing the pressure will depend on such factors including the disappearance of factors to increase CPI, the stable price of goods and services for residence, the decreasing influence of producer prices on CPI, the adequacy of domestic food reserves in China, and the lower rising in CPI in other countries.

关 键 词： 价格 消费价格指数 通货膨胀 宏观经济

领　　域： [经济管理] [经济管理]