作　　者： ; ;

机构地区： 中山大学

出　　处： 《广东外语外贸大学学报》 2010年第4期32-37,共6页

摘　　要： 通过分析美国近40年的宏观经济走势发现:美国长期贸易逆差伴随着长期经济增长,并且两者负相关,贸易对经济增长的贡献度远小于其他指标的贡献度。影响美国经济周期性波动的主要因素是消费、投资和政府支出,而政府政策导向是这一传导机制的起始点。美国经济政策通过作用于消费、投资和政府支出,间接对贸易赤字、经济增长和经济波动产生影响。所谓的最市场化国家通过娴熟的宏观调控操作技巧掌控着美国经济的走势并影响着世界经济的发展方向,美国的国家意志才是经济增长方式和经济发展战略的根源所在。 By analyzing the past 40 years＇ development trend of the US macroeconomic performance,we have found that the US long-term trade deficit is accompanied by its long-term economic growth and both are negatively correlated.Moreover,trade has contributed much less to the economic growth than the others.Consumption,investment and government spending are the major factors in affecting the cyclical fluctuation of the US economy,and the government guidance is the right starting point of the transmission mechanism.By means of influencing consumption,investment and government spending,the US policies indirectly work on trade deficit,economic growth and economic fluctuation.The so-called most marketoriented country,with skilled macroscopic regulation techniques,not only controls the trend in its own economic development but also influences the direction in the world economic growth.The state＇s purpose of the U.S.is the very root of economic growth mode and strategies.

关 键 词： 贸易逆差 经济增长 政策导向

领　　域： [经济管理] [经济管理]