机构地区: 深圳信息职业技术学院信息控制与制造系
出 处: 《模具工业》 2010年第7期13-16,共4页
摘 要: 介绍了对模具项目风险进行管理的重要性,详细描述风险故障树的构造和贝叶斯网络理论对模具项目风险进行定量分析的方法和手段,对风险底事件的后验概率进行了贝叶斯网络反向推理,由此可指导模具企业强化互向参与的风险规避措施。 Based on 4Ps framework of mould project, the importance of mould project risk management was presented; and the construction of fault tree analysis as well as the application of Bayesian network theory in the risk analysis of mould project was described in detail. The posterior probability conducted by Bayesian network backward reasoning can provide mould enterprise guidance to avoid the risk through enhancement of co-participation.