作　　者： ; ;

机构地区： 南京大学经济学院经济学系

出　　处： 《国际金融研究》 2009年第8期62-69,共8页

摘　　要： 当前,全球金融海啸重创了西方发达国家的金融系统乃至实体经济,中国对外贸易也难免受到波及。另一方面,2005年7月人民币汇率制度改革后,中国的贸易顺差和外汇储备仍在不断增加,"汇率操纵"之说引起的贸易争端持续不断。因此,我们有必要研究中国与主要贸易伙伴的汇率,以解决"汇率操纵"之说引起的贸易纠纷,以保证中国对外贸易在全球金融危机中健康发展。本文研究了2005年7月汇改后中国与六大贸易伙伴的汇率,认为人民币汇率的水平总体合理,但仍需对不同贸易伙伴的汇率进行调整。此外,本文对中国的外贸政策、汇率政策和货币政策进行了分析,并提出了相关政策建议。 The ongoing global financial tsunami inflicts heavy losses on the financial system as much as the real economy of developed economies. China＇ s foreign trade is inevitably affected. In addition, after the exchange rate regime shift in July 2005, the trade surplus and foreign exchange reserve of China are still accumulated, trade conflicts occur from time to time, due to the view that China is manipulating exchange rate of RMB. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate the exchange rates of China and its six primary trade partners in order to resolve trade conflicts and assure us of the healthy development of China＇s foreign trade. The conclusion is that the current level of exchange rate of RMB is reasonable as a whole, but it is indispensable to adjust the exchange rates of RMB according to the different partners, after investigating the exchange rates of China and its six primary trade partners after the exchange rate regime shift. Furthermore, this paper analyzes China＇s foreign trade policy, foreign exchange rate policy and monetary policy of China and outs forward some oranosals.

关 键 词： 汇率 净出口 利息 通货膨胀

领　　域： [经济管理]