机构地区: 中国人民解放军后勤工程学院
出 处: 《中国电机工程学报》 1997年第3期211-213,216,共4页
摘 要: 本文根据周期自回归模型(PAR),在考虑小时负荷变化的日周期性的基础上,进一步考虑了一周内小时负荷变化的特性,通过修正短期负荷预测的日周期PAR模型,建立了计及负荷波动周周期性的PAR预测模型。 In line with periodcal auto regression model,this paper gives a farther study on short term load forecasting based on the investigation of the daily period PAR model.Two kinds of method are presented to revies the daily period PAR model for hourly load perdiction.It can take the weekly varying nature of power load into account and produce a more reasonable result.The short term load forecasting of a practical power utility has been carried out to demostrate the effectiveness of the methods.
领 域: [电气工程]