机构地区: 广东外语外贸大学国际经济贸易学院
出 处: 《经济经纬》 2006年第2期42-45,共4页
摘 要: 采用协整检验和格兰杰因果检验的方法,分析了中国对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系。研究表明,对外贸易与经济增长存在长期的稳定关系,且进口的产出弹性相对较大,出口与经济增长之间存在单项的因果关系。因此,中国经济增长还是处于出口导向型的经济增长,同时在加大出口的同时,要重视进口的作用。 The relationship between external trade and economic growth in China is analyzed by applying co -integration analytical tools and Granger causality. The conclusion indicates that the relationship between external trade and economic growth remains steady for a long time, the output elasticity of import trade is bigger, and there is a uni - direction causality between export and economic growth. Economic growth in China is still an export - oriented growth, so the export trade must be strengthened and at the same time the role of import trade should be emphasized.