机构地区: 暨南大学
出 处: 《模糊系统与数学》 1995年第2期11-15,共5页
摘 要: 本文讨论了可能性概念在大系统特别是人—机混合系统的可靠性分析的应用,依据Zadeh的原始思想,人为差错率应该用可能性分析与概率分析来描述,前者描述差错的潜在可能性而后者描述差错发生的实际可能性。这一点,在大型灾害性事故的分析中具有特殊重要意义。 This paper discussed the role of possibility theory in quantitative approach to relia-bility of large-scale system,especially man-machine system, According the original ideadue to Prof.L.A. Zadeh,an errot rate may be associated both with a possibility distribu-tion and probability distribution. One described the potentiality for error,and the otherregarded as actuality for error. This is particularly important for analysis of big acci-dent.