作　　者： ; ;

机构地区： 复旦大学经济学院经济学系

出　　处： 《经济研究》 2004年第7期38-47,共10页

摘　　要： 本轮经济波动的一个显著特征是作为衡量经济过热的重要指标之一的通货膨胀并不明显。本文以宏观总供给的形成、宏观总需求的形成和宏观经济运行的微观基础为线索 ,在历史地回顾和分析改革开放以来前四次经济周期性波动的内在特征的基础上 ,指出当前宏观经济运行已进入一个新时期 ,具有与以往经济波动不同的新特征 。 One of the prominent features of this round of economic fluctuation is that inflation as the important indicator for measuring economic overheat is not obvious. Based on the formation of aggregate demand - aggregate supply and micro foundations of macroeconomic fluctuation, this paper gives an overview of the former 4 cyclical fluctuations of Chinese economy and analyzes their intrinsic characteristics. On this basis, we concludes that the current macroeconomy has moved into a new stage, with new features different from past economic fluctuations. This paper also attempts to provide a new explanation for this round of economic fluctuation from the perspective of the driving forces of this turn of economic growth and the underlying conflicts beneath it.

关 键 词： 中国 宏观经济 经济增长率 经济周期 投资规模 消费需求 资源配置 宏观调控

领　　域： [经济管理] [经济管理]